May 6, 1971
Mr. Tom Cole
2015 Sierra Vista
Tempe, Arizona 85281
Dear Mr. Cole:
The point of my editorials, which you seem to have
missed, is that energies spent being active about
hysterical pollution and political pollution is diverted
from the areas of actual pollution----with the result
that those things that need doing won't get done.
Also, the current ecological fad is strictly a fad, and
about as realistic as Little Orphan Annie or Goldilocks.
If you thin we can add three billion large omnivorous
animals to a world ecosystem that was previously fairly
well balanced without subtracting something else
somewhere, you believe in Magic Wands and Fairy
Godmothers.
Either kill off about 2.8 billion of those large
omnivorous animals, or expect to see a lot of other
animals and species exterminated; something's to to
give! And it won't be the Laws of Nature. The Universe
is perfectly fair, but it's totally indifferent. It has
no sentimental attachment to either Brown Pelicans or
homo sapiens----but there isn't room for those billions
of h. sap. without throwing out something else.
That's the simple fundamental of the ecological
problem.
Item: If all oxygen production form phyotoplankton
stopped now, it would take a couple of generations to
reduce the oxygen content of the atmosphere to an
uncomfortable degree. The tonnage is rather stupendous.
Item: If all but one individual plankton cell were
wiped out, and only that one poison-resistant cell
remained in all the oceans, let's consider what would
happen.
First, it would be freed of the pressure of
competition. And if we assume it has the low
reproduction rate of one fission every 24 hours, how
many cells would be produced in one years? In 365 days,
there will be 2365 cells, if all survive to reproduce.
Now 2365 is roughly log2 x 365 = .301 x 365 = 99.5 Then
there would be 1099 cells---if it weren't
limited by the fact that there are only about 1072
particles in the total Universe! That's neutrons,
protons, electrons, etc. in all the stars, planets,
gas-dust etc. in all the galaxies in the cosmos.
Conclusion: I'm not deeply concerned about having all
the phytoplankton poisoned off.
Look how quickly various germs bred up
penicillin-resistant strains! And how rapidly DDT-immune
flies and mosquitoes began appearing!
A magnificent example of hysterical pollution has to do
with leaded gasoline.
They were oh-so-concerned about the lead (but refused
to consider giving up their beloved gasoline burning
monsters) that they came out with low-lead gas.
To make modern engines work on low-lead gas they had to
put the more expensive aromatic hydrocarbons in the
gas----as much as 50% benzene-ring molecules.
Now without happy lead-free gasoline, the partly
oxidized hydrocarbons belched out are no longer
alcohols, acids and ketones----they're complex
aromatics. Among them are a variety of the most
intensely carcinogenic compounds known to medicine.
See----we solved that lead pollution problem! We
hurried and pushed, and we made them give us low lead
gasoline fast! That's getting things done!
So fast there was no time to study the other
consequences.
Have a little cancer (which can't be cured) instead of
lead poisoning (which is readily treated with a
chelating agent.)
Sincerely,
(signed)
John W. Campbell
Editor
Actually, Campbell made some valid points here. He did
not, however, address my question about the
DDT-resistant strains of birds that in his editorial he
claimed had developed. It was really his obnoxious
ranting that got to me. He didn't talk much about the
precambrian extinction either or really say anything
about his constant, "Who cares?" (if species are
exterminated) "That's new maybe?" May not be new, but
who needs it in our time? As Asimov said in his letter
to me, I was irritated. It also seems he mistakingly
wrote the word, "without" instead of "with" in the
fourth-to-last paragraph. No biggie; I think I
misspelled "prokaryote" throughout my letter. "Have a
little cancer"? Gee Whiz, thanks a lot.
John Campbell Envelope to Me 1.JPG
John Campbell Letter to Me 1.JPG
John Campbell Letter to Me 2.JPG
John Campbell Letter to Me 3.JPG
My Letter to Asimov.JPG
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